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Jason Holliston
Tuesday, June 15, 2004  
Bold Election Projection

Tim Cavanaugh comes out and makes a projection for this fall's presidential election in a -- colorful way:

It doesn't matter how much gas costs, how poorly things are going in Iraq, what new torture memos surface, or whether there are new terror attacks inside our borders. John Kerry hasn't got a whore's chance in a convent, Bush is going to kick his ass all over the United States, and when we see the results in November, the idea that anybody ever thought Kerry had a prayer will seem as quaint and absurd as the brief flurry of "excitement" for Dukakis (or was it Kakdukis?) back in Old '88.

I love it. Read the whole thing, because before you scoff and insist that it's going to be a nail-biter like the last election, see his reasoning.

So, since he's called me to the mat (without knowing it, of course), I'll make a prediction too:

Bush: 52%
Kerry: 46%
Nader: 2%
Other: < 1%

Also, with Bush picking up about 75% of the electoral votes, just to make it constitutional and stuff. Of course, just like Tim said about his own prediction, I could be wrong, but the only way I see Bush losing this election is if he messes up in Watergate-level proportions. Remember: there's a reason why Hilary clinton stayed out of this race.

At the very least, it'll be fun to look back and see how close I was in another 18 or so weeks. Thanks to Instapundit for the head's up.

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